Debris from Chinese missile may appear over Poland. POLSA announcement

On Thursday, February 27, parts of the Chinese Jielong rocket may enter the Earth's atmosphere - the Polish Space Agency (POLSA) reported. It is possible that the debris will appear over Poland at around 11:30. Experts suspect, however, that they will burn up in the atmosphere before falling.

On Wednesday, POLSA reported in a statement that parts of the Chinese Jielong rocket had re-entered the Earth's atmosphere . Its fragments may fly over Poland on Thursday between 11:35 and 11:36 , but they will most likely not pose a threat because they will burn up in the atmosphere.

According to the EU SST (EU Space Surveillance and Tracking) published on Wednesday, February 26, it is assumed that during the few hours that parts of Jielong may enter the Earth's atmosphere, the highest probability of the phenomenon occurring will occur at 8:00 CET (Central European Time - ed.) over the southern tip of South America.

POLSA assures that "taking into account the rocket's parameters" re-entry into the atmosphere will take only a few minutes , therefore the debris from the object has little chance of reaching Earth.

SEE: Falcon 9 debris near Poznań. SpaceX speaks out

US Space Force calculations and independent POLSA calculations estimate that the rocket's probable atmospheric re-entry could occur on February 27, 2025, at the latest at 5:52 a.m. CET over eastern Russia. In such a situation, Poland would not be in the so-called window of uncertainty at all.

Jielong 3 (CZ-11A) is a Chinese commercial orbital launch vehicle launched from a floating platform in the Yellow Sea. The mass of the upper stage of the rocket (after the mission is completed) is estimated at 500 kg , which is "a low risk of survival of its fragments after its entry into the Earth's atmosphere and fall to Earth" - POLSA reports.

Last week, before 5 a.m., a SpaceX Falcon 9 R/B rocket stage entered the atmosphere in an uncontrolled manner. The approximately 4-ton piece came from SpaceX’s Starlink Group 11-4 mission, which launched from an air base in California on February 1.

SEE: Falcon 9 rocket incident. Urgent ministry announcement

Four objects that may be part of a Falcon 9 rocket have been found in Wielkopolska. POLSA reported that the fragments were found in Komorniki, where the object fell on the premises of an electrical equipment wholesaler, in Wiry, where the object was found in a forest, in Śliwno, where the object fell in a field, and in Szamotuły, where the object was found on the edge of a forest.

SpaceX looked into the problem and determined the cause of the disaster, which was supposedly a fuel leak. Elon Musk's company said it was in contact with the Polish administration and domestic services.