A new poll asked about the PJ leader without Cristina: Máximo got 3% and two governors 0%.

Although it was passed over as a formal matter, one of the political consequences of the confirmation of Cristina Kirchner's conviction for corruption was that she would have to step down as president of the Justicialist Party . In reality, it's more than that: she has been banned from holding public office for life, and has been removed from the electoral roll. This automatically removed her from her party position, and she will also be unable to vote while in prison (at home).

Therefore, in addition to the loyalty and willingness of his closest followers, talk of a succession began . And what had already been assumed in words to be a problem was confirmed in numbers: few leaders generate any expectations .

Examples? Máximo Kirchner got 3%, and two very anti-Milei governors got 0%.

This is revealed by a new survey that measured the impact of the Supreme Court's ruling. It was conducted by the University of Buenos Aires' Psychology Faculty Observatory (OPSA) , which regularly publishes surveys with data on the political, economic, and social situation.

From June 12 to 14, they surveyed 1,030 cases nationwide and presented results with a +/- 3% margin of error.

The first question in the study related to feelings . Based on this prompt: "We ask you to express in one word how you felt when you learned that the Supreme Court upheld Cristina Kirchner's conviction and, consequently, that she will be imprisoned."

As other polls published by Clarín have shown, the majority considers the former president guilty and supports the court's decision . The proportion, reflecting the rift, is two to one against Cristina.

In the UBA survey, 65% expressed support for the ruling and 31% opposed it. The remaining 4% were neutral.

When that was captured in a word cloud , with size proportional to the result, what appears largest at a glance is "Justice" .

The impact of the case on the functioning of democracy is then investigated: 54% respond that the conviction "strengthens" the system, versus 36% who believe it "weakens" it. For 10% , "neither" is happening.

Towards the end of the survey, the topic of political legacy is addressed. The question is: "If Cristina Kirchner will now be unable to hold public office, who do you think is the best leader to succeed her as leader of the Justicialist Party? "

The result doesn't leave a good impression on Cristina's supporters. The former president's son , as previously reported, barely reached 3% . Eduardo "Wado" de Pedro , the official Cristina had chosen as her 2023 presidential candidate (who later had to withdraw), fared worse. The former interior minister obtained 1% .

The best within the most radicalized groups is Juan Grabois . The picket leader, who was able to present a symbolic nomination and lost the primary in the PASO (Primary Election) against Sergio Massa, obtained 21%. Several in Kirchnerism are already beginning to see him as a (more) important role model for what's to come.

Grabois appears third in the standings. In second place, with 31% , comes the uncomfortable "I still don't see anyone capable of succeeding her."

And first up is the man who for years was considered Cristina's natural successor, but who was left with no choice this year due to his autonomist intentions. This is, of course, the governor of Buenos Aires, Axel Kicillof: 39%.

To some extent, this study mirrors what other studies have shown when looking at the images or the overall leadership of the opposition. Cristina usually performs best, followed by Kicillof.

Returning to the Peronist ranking of the UBA, two governors are offered as options, and they both end up with 0%. They are Ricardo Quintela from La Rioja and Sergio Ziliotto from Pampa. They are among the governors most opposed to President Javier Milei.

Sergio Massa closes with 2% , Other 2% , José Mayans with 1% .